History & Accuracy
2026 (current)
6-2SU (75.0%)
4-4ATS (50.0%)
8 games decided
Calibration — predicted probability vs. actual win rate
Accuracy by confidence bucket
| Segment | N | SU% |
|---|---|---|
| 55-60% | 1 | 100.0% |
| 60-65% | 1 | 100.0% |
| 65-70% | 1 | 0.0% |
| 70-75% | 3 | 66.7% |
| 95-100% | 2 | 100.0% |
By favorite vs. underdog pick
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picked the favorite | 8 | 75.0% | 50.0% |
By home / away / neutral
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neutral site | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picked home team | 7 | 85.7% | 57.1% |
By conference (picked team)
| Segment | N | SU% | ATS% |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACC | 3 | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Mountain West | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Big 12 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Big Ten | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Mid-American | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Week-by-week log
Week 1SU 6-2 · ATS 4-4
North Carolina @ TCUpicked TCU (72%)✗ TCU 10-15 North Carolina
San José State @ USCpicked USC (99%)✓ USC 42-26 San José State
NC State @ Virginiapicked Virginia (59%)✓ Virginia 34-8 NC State
Jacksonville State @ North Dakota Statepicked North Dakota State (70%)✓ North Dakota State 33-7 Jacksonville State
Sacramento State @ Eastern Michiganpicked Eastern Michigan (74%)✓ Eastern Michigan 28-17 Sacramento State
Hawai'i @ Stanfordpicked Stanford (62%)✓ Stanford 37-27 Hawai'i
New Mexico State @ Florida Statepicked Florida State (97%)✓ Florida State 34-17 New Mexico State
Memphis @ UNLVpicked UNLV (66%)✗ UNLV 21-27 Memphis